★ Highest Probability
7632–7648 Demand Hold Long
- Trigger
- Responsive buying from 7632–7648, followed by a reclaim/hold of the level.
- Target
- PDL → 7714–7724
- Invalidation
- Acceptance below 7632.
Tuesday 1 September 2026 · /ES (September Contract)
9/1 Trade Plan
Bias · Neutral at Demand → Bearish Below 7632
Major Demand Test
Key levels
7714–7724Resistance · ⭐ Major Supply
7632–7648Support · ⭐ Major Demand
7606Support · 50 DMA
7570Support · Major Demand
PDL — potential lower-high triggerResistance
Context
The 7714–7724 lower-high thesis played out, with ES selling off overnight into the major 7632–7648 demand. This is now the key test. Do not chase shorts into demand. We want to see whether buyers can defend this zone or whether sellers finally break the larger structure.
Second Opportunity
PDL Lower-High Short
- Trigger
- Bounce from demand into PDL, followed by rejection and a failed retest.
- Target
- 7632 → 7606
- Invalidation
- Reclaim and acceptance above PDL.
Only If
7632 Breakdown Short
- Trigger
- Clean break below 7632 and failed retest.
- Target
- 7606 → 7570
- Invalidation
- Reclaim above 7632.
Avoid
- Shorting directly into 7632–7648 demand.
- Assuming demand will hold without buyer confirmation.
- Chasing the first reaction off the low.
Focus · if → then
- 7632–7648 holds → look for the bounce.
- PDL rejects → 7632 → 7606.
- 7632 fails → 7606 → 7570.
- 7714–7724 remains major supply.
Today's reminder
We are at the level that matters. Don't predict the bounce—wait for buyers to prove they're there.
How it played out
Not scored yet. Every plan is checked against what the market actually did, and nothing is edited after the fact.
Get tomorrow's plan before the open.
Free, every trading day. Plans go out by email and stay here in the archive.
No signals, no spam. Prefer chat? Join the Discord.