★ Highest Probability
7800 Break & Hold Long
- Trigger
- Acceptance above 7800 followed by a successful retest.
- Target
- ATH
- Invalidation
- Failed reclaim back below 7800.
Tuesday 11 August 2026 · /ES (September Contract)
8/11 Trade Plan
Bias · Neutral Inside Range → Bullish Above 7800
Tight Consolidation
Key levels
7800Resistance · ⭐ Range High
7760Support · ⭐ Range Low
7740–7718Support · ⭐ Major Demand / Higher-Low Zone
7650Support · ⭐ Deeper Demand
ATHResistance
Context
ES is trapped inside a very tight 7760–7800 range. This is not a range worth forcing trades inside. The key today is simple: wait for ES to leave the range. Above 7800, buyers can push toward ATH. Below 7760, expect a deeper test of 7740–7718. 7718 remains the structural line in the sand.
Second Opportunity
7740–7718 Pullback Long
- Trigger
- Break below 7760, followed by a pullback into 7740–7718 and responsive buying.
- Target
- 7760 → 7800
- Invalidation
- Acceptance below 7718.
Only If
7718 Failure Short
- Trigger
- Clean break below 7718 and failed retest as resistance.
- Target
- 7650
- Invalidation
- Reclaim above 7718.
Avoid
- Trading the middle of 7760–7800.
- Forcing trades because the range feels boring.
- Chasing the first move outside the range without acceptance.
- Shorting while 7718 continues to hold.
Focus · if → then
- Above 7800 → look for ATH.
- Below 7760 → watch 7740–7718.
- Below 7718 → downside opens toward 7650.
- Inside 7760–7800 → stay patient.
Today's reminder
This is a 40-point range. Don't let a small range turn into a big trading mistake. Let ES choose the direction.
How it played out
Not scored yet. Every plan is checked against what the market actually did, and nothing is edited after the fact.
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