★ A+ Setup
Breakout Above 50DMA
- Zone
- Above 6,802
- Trigger
- Break and HOLD above; Acceptance, not a wick
- Target
- 6,850 → 6,882–6,903
- Invalidation
- Loss of 6,780
👉 This is the cleanest directional trade; 👉 Break from compression = expansion
Thursday 9 April 2026 · /ES · 30Min
4/9 Trade Plan
Bias · Neutral → Bullish above 6,802 / Bearish below 6,775
Compression between 50DMA & 200DMA → wait for break or clean reaction
Key levels
6,882–6,903Resistance · major supply
6,850Resistance · supply
6,802Resistance · 50DMA
6,775Support · 200DMA / hold
6,704Support · pullback demand
Context
Overnight, ES pushed to 6,847 and is now pulling back, sitting just under the 50DMA (~6,802) and above the 200DMA (~6,775). This puts price in a tight range between two major moving averages, where direction is not confirmed yet. Holding above 6,775 keeps structure intact and opens continuation back toward 6,850 and higher supply, while losing it likely leads to a deeper pullback. Until we break one side cleanly, this is a compression zone where patience matters most.
B+ Setup
Hold at 200DMA
- Zone
- 6,775
- Trigger
- Pullback into support; Holds clean
- Target
- 6,802 → 6,850
- Invalidation
- Acceptance below 6,750
👉 Good continuation trade; 👉 Lower confidence inside range
A+ Setup
Breakdown Below 200DMA
- Zone
- Below 6,775
- Trigger
- Loss of support; Failed reclaim
- Target
- 6,720 → 6,704
- Invalidation
- Reclaim above 6,800
👉 Clean move if it goes; 👉 Break of structure
B+ Setup
Rejection at Supply
- Zone
- 6,850 → 6,882
- Trigger
- Push into resistance; Clear rejection
- Target
- 6,802 → 6,775
- Invalidation
- Acceptance above 6,910
👉 Reaction trade; 👉 Not as clean unless extended
Confirmation
- 1️⃣ 30m acceptance at 6,775 or 6,802
- 2️⃣ Reaction at extremes only
- 3️⃣ VWAP aligned
- 4️⃣ No chasing
- No trading inside 6,780–6,800
- No chasing between MAs
- No early entries
Mindset
- You are in a compression zone → don’t force trades
- A+ = break or breakdown only
- B+ = reactions, size down mentally
- One clean trade → you’re done
- SPY (30MIN)
- Wedged between two major spots. 100DMA above at 678.50 is keeping us down & will be heavy. Break above that & we can see a real squeezer.
- If we fail to hold the 669.66 level, we will see downside towards the 200DMA. That will be the best short side opportunity to look for. Pullback to the 200DMA is also the best long opportunity.
Best window
10–11:30AM
How it played out
The primary setup triggered and reached its first target.
triggered, then reached 6850. Measured from m15 bars, ESM6, confirm entry, touch-based invalidation. Not a fill, and not a return: see how this is measured.
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