★ A+ Setup
Pullback Hold Long (Primary)
- Zone
- 6,784
- Trigger
- Pullback into support; Clean hold + higher low
- Target
- 6,847 → 6,870
- Invalidation
- Acceptance below 6,750
👉 Above 50DMA = buyers in control; 👉 This is the continuation trade
Wednesday 8 April 2026 · /ES · 1HR
4/8 Trade Plan
Bias · Neutral → Bullish above 6,784 / Bearish below
Vertical rally into MAs → hold above 50DMA or unwind
Key levels
6,870Resistance · 100DMA
6,847Resistance · overnight high
6,784Support · hold or fail
6,695Support · major demand
Context
Overnight, ES pushed aggressively to 6,847, now sitting: Above 50DMA (~6,808) Below 100DMA (~6,870) We are now in a tight decision zone between moving averages. Key level: 6,784 = must-hold support If this holds → continuation toward 100DMA (~6,870) If it fails → unwind back into 6,695 demand Key idea: Above 6,784 → momentum intact Below → pullback phase begins
A+ Setup
Breakdown → Unwind
- Zone
- Below 6,784
- Trigger
- Loss of support; Failed reclaim
- Target
- 6,720 → 6,695
- Invalidation
- Reclaim above 6,810
👉 Loss of structure after vertical move; 👉 Expect rotation lower
A+ Setup
Breakout into 100DMA
- Zone
- Above 6,847
- Trigger
- Break and HOLD above overnight high
- Target
- 6,870
- Invalidation
- Loss of 6,820
👉 Only if it proves; 👉 Don’t chase a wick
A+ Setup
Rejection at 100DMA
- Zone
- 6,870
- Trigger
- Push into 100DMA; Clear rejection
- Target
- 6,784
- Invalidation
- Acceptance above 6,900
👉 Major HTF supply; 👉 Expect reaction first
Confirmation
- 1️⃣ 1HR / 30m acceptance at 6,784 or 6,847
- 2️⃣ Reaction at extremes only
- 3️⃣ VWAP aligned
- 4️⃣ No chasing
- No chasing after overnight move
- No trading middle
- No early entries
Mindset
- This is a hold or unwind day
- Don’t chase strength into MAs
- Let price come to you
- One clean trade → you’re done
- SPY (1 HR)
- The Inverse H/S look we talked about played beautifully. That golden zone we had at 649.48/650.85 couldn't have been more spot on yesterday. Today, we are up into some major spots. The 680.86 & 100DMA will be tough to break above. We are also sitting right at some daily lows here between 676.57/675.79. Will have to wait to see the reactions at these levels & the 50DMA. If we fail the 50DMA, I could see us moving lower into 670/671 demand. I like that spot for pullback longs.
- Below 670, we get the bigger drop into the 200DMA & 662 retest.
Best window
10–11:30AM
How it played out
The setup triggered, but neither the target nor the invalidation was reached by the close.
triggered, but neither level was reached by the close. Measured from m15 bars, ESM6, confirm entry, touch-based invalidation. Not a fill, and not a return: see how this is measured.
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