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Monday 6 April 2026 · /ES · 30m / Daily

4/6 Trade Plan

Bias · Neutral → Bullish above 6,684 / Bearish below 6,563 Relief rally into stacked supply (20DMA + range high) → key battleground

Key levels

6,750–6,765Resistance · higher supply (only if breakout holds)
6,632–6,684Resistance · primary supply zone (20DMA inside)
6,573Support · first pullback level (scalp long area)
6,563Support · breakdown trigger
6,517–6,483Support · A++ demand (Vince’s highest conviction long)

Context

Market is pushing into a stacked supply zone (6,632–6,684), not just a single level. This is the key shift from your plan: It’s not just 6,637… it’s a zone that needs full acceptance 20DMA sits inside this zone Range highs sit above it This is where the real decision happens Key idea (updated): Acceptance above 6,684 → continuation opens Failure anywhere in 6,632–6,684 → rotation lower

★ A+ Setup

Supply Rejection (Primary)

Zone
6,632 → 6,684
Trigger
Push into supply; Clear rejection / failure
Target
6,573 → 6,517
Invalidation
Acceptance above 6,700; Notes (updated):; This is not just a level—it’s a zone of sellers; 👉 You should expect chop + traps before resolution

A+ Setup

Breakdown → Acceleration

Zone
Below 6,563 → 6,483
Trigger
Break and hold below; No reclaim
Target
6,517 → 6,483 → → then 6,353–6,387 if continuation
Invalidation
Reclaim above 6,600

Below 6,483 = air pocket / acceleration

A+ Setup

Reclaim & Expansion

Zone
Above 6,684
Trigger
Break and HOLD above 6,684; Acceptance above full supply zone
Target
6,750
Invalidation
Loss of 6,650; Notes (important shift):; 👉 Not just reclaiming 20DMA—; 👉 Must clear entire supply zone

B+ Setup

Pullback Long (Lower Confidence)

Zone
6,573
Trigger
Controlled pullback; Hold + reaction
Target
6,632
Invalidation
Acceptance below 6,550; Notes (Vince influence):; This is a scalp, not conviction; 👉 Real long = deeper levels

A+ Setup

Deep Pullback Long (Vince’s Edge)

Zone
6,517 → 6,483
Trigger
Flush into demand; Strong reaction
Target
6,573 → 6,632
Invalidation
Acceptance below 6,460; Notes (important):; 👉 This is his favorite trade on the day; 👉 You did NOT emphasize this enough before

Confirmation

  • 1️⃣ 30m acceptance inside or outside 6,632–6,684 zone
  • 2️⃣ Reaction at extremes only
  • 3️⃣ VWAP aligned
  • 4️⃣ No chasing inside supply
  • No trading inside 6,640–6,670 chop
  • No assuming breakout at 20DMA alone
  • No early entries inside supply

Mindset

  • This is a zone battle, not a single level
  • Best trades = rejection at supply or reaction at deep demand
  • Not every push is tradable → wait for clarity
  • One clean trade → you’re done
  • Kill Switch
  • Hit your trade → log it + walk away
  • No second trade
  • No “let me try again”
  • SPY (1 HR)
  • Need to see us reclaim and hold above 658.52 as well as the 20DMA for any real juice here... we may be able to see upside towards the 200DMA at 663.35. Fails at this supply keep us rangebound with pullbacks towards the 650/649 demand. Above 663, we can start eyeing that 673/675 zone. Fails below 649.48 likely bring us back into the 645/641 demand zone.

Best window

9:45–11:00AM

How it played out

Not scored yet. Every plan is checked against what the market actually did, and nothing is edited after the fact.

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Drawn with

RAIN High-Probability Reaction Levels$30 →RAIN Break & Retest Footprint (ES)$50 →

Earlier plans

4/2Breakdown → Flush (Primary)4/1Pop & Fade (Primary)3/31Pop & Fade (Primary)3/30Pop & Fade (Primary)