★ Prime Setup
7462–7473 Hold Long
- Trigger
- Pullback into demand followed by responsive buying.
- Target
- 7491 → 7516
- Invalidation
- Acceptance below 7451.
Thursday 25 June 2026 · /ES
6/25 Trade Plan
Bias · Neutral / Range Bound Until Breakout
Consolidation Above Support
Key levels
7595Resistance · (20 DMA)
7552–7558Resistance
7516Resistance · (50 DMA)
7496–7506Resistance
7488–7491Resistance · ⭐ Active Supply
7480–7482Support · ⭐ Intraday Support
7462–7473Support · ⭐ Primary Demand
7451Support · Overnight Low
7403Support · Prior Low
7354–7336Support · Major Demand
Context
ES continues to consolidate after holding 7403. Overnight range developed between 7451 and 7491, with price currently holding above the 7462–7473 support zone. The key development overnight was repeated rejection at 7488–7491, with negative delta showing signs of absorption rather than aggressive buying. Until buyers reclaim that area, this remains a range market.
A+ Setup
7516 Reclaim Long
- Trigger
- Acceptance above the 50 DMA.
- Target
- 7552 → 7595
- Invalidation
- Failed reclaim below 7516.
B-Tier Setup
7488–7491 Rejection Fade
- Trigger
- Rejection at supply with delta exhaustion.
- Target
- 7480 → 7473
- Invalidation
- Acceptance above 7491.
Avoid
- Chasing longs into 7488–7516 resistance.
- Shorting first touch into 7462–7473 demand.
- Trading the middle of the range.
- Assuming trend reversal before reclaiming the 50 DMA.
Confirmation
- VWAP aligned
- Delta confirms participation
- Acceptance above reclaimed levels
- Break-and-retest structure holds
- No first-touch chasing into liquidity
- Negative delta into resistance = absorption until proven otherwise
How it played out
The primary setup never confirmed, so there was no trade.
reached 7462 but never confirmed. Measured from m15 bars, ESU6, confirm entry, touch-based invalidation. Not a fill, and not a return: see how this is measured.
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