Monday 8 June 2026 · /ES

6/8 Trade Plan

Bias · Neutral → Bullish Above 7419 / Reactive Market Conditions Post-Flush Reaction / Range Expansion

Key levels

7525Resistance

7500Resistance

7493Resistance · (100DMA) ⭐

7454–7463Resistance · ⭐

7425–7450Resistance

7419Support · ⭐

7400Support · ⭐

7370–7360Support · ⭐

7354Support

7320Support

7300Support

Context

Friday’s selloff shifted ES from trend into a reactive range after a clean flush from ATH supply (~7630) into major demand around 7360. Overnight low at 7355 held and price bounced into 7436, showing buyers are still active at the lower range, but we remain under key resistance and below the 100DMA at 7493. 7400 = intraday higher-low decision zone 7354 = validated demand (Friday low) 7454–7463 = supply / rejection zone 7500 = upside magnet if reclaimed (20DMA) 👉 Today is a simple rotation decision: hold 7400 and build higher low structure OR fail it and rotate back into demand.

★ Prime Setup

7400 Hold & Higher Low Continuation

Trigger: Pullback into 7400–7419 that holds and bases
Target: 7454 → 7463 → 7500
Invalidation: Acceptance below 7370; 🟣 VWAP aligned; 🟣 Delta confirms continuation; 🟣 Acceptance above reclaimed levels; 🟣 Break-and-retest structure holds; 🟣 No first-touch chasing into 7454–7463 liquidity

A-Tier Setup

7419 Acceptance Long

Trigger: Hold + acceptance above 7419 after consolidation
Target: 7450 → 7454–7463 → 7493
Invalidation: Back below 7400

B-Tier Setup

7454–7463 Rejection Fade

Trigger: Exhaustion / failed breakout into supply; Loss of 7400 with acceptance below
Target: 7419 → 7400 → 7370 → 7370 → 7354 → 7300
Invalidation: Acceptance above 7463; 🔴 Bearish Expansion — 7400 Fails as Higher Low; Reclaim above 7419

Avoid

Chasing 7454–7463 without confirmation
Premature dip buys below 7400
Assuming trend continuation without acceptance
Overtrading inside 7419–7450 chop
Ignoring reaction quality (still a rotational market)

Confirmation

7354 remains higher-timeframe demand anchor
7400 is today’s structural decision point
7419 is intraday trigger for upside continuation
7454–7463 = primary supply / fade zone
7500 = magnet if acceptance breaks range
Market remains rotational until proven otherwise
SPY 30MIN
The 733/731 zone is major.. holding there keeps this market higher. Losing that level takes us lower towards the 728 demand. Major line in the sand. Some upside supply levels that I am cautious of today... watching the 740.80/741.50 zone first. If we can reclaim that, we should trade into the 743.63 highs. Above that, we should trade towards the 20DMA. Cautious of lower high rejections on pops today, will be more of a monitor type of day.

How it played out

The primary setup never confirmed, so there was no trade.

price never reached 7400. Measured from m15 bars, ESM6, confirm entry, touch-based invalidation. Not a fill, and not a return: see how this is measured.

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Drawn with

RAIN High-Probability Reaction Levels$30 →RAIN Break & Retest Footprint (ES)$50 →

Earlier plans

6/37610 Hold & Rotation Long 6/27597 Reclaim Long 6/17580 Hold & Reclaim Long 5/29Bullish above 7582 / Expansion above ATH