Tuesday 27 January 2026 · /ES · 30 Min

1/27 Trade Plan

Bias · Bullish → Reactive at ATH supply Higher low → Grind higher → Caution at extremes

Key levels

7,017–7,025Resistance · ATH supply / decision zone

6,976–6,964Support · Prior highs → must hold

6,925Support · Rotation support

6,904Support · Structural demand

6,880Support · Failure acceleration level

Context

ES is putting in a clean higher low, which matters. As long as price holds above the prior highs 6,964–6,976, the path of least resistance stays higher. This is a grind-up environment, not a rip-your-face-off trend: 👉 Pullbacks are opportunities 👉 Chasing highs is a mistake 👉 ATH supply must be respected Market personality: • Slow grind • Shallow pullbacks • Punishes impatience near highs

★ A+ Setup

Pullback Long (Primary)

Zone: 6,976–6,964; 20DMA (if tested)
Trigger: Controlled pullback; Higher low holds; Delta stabilizes / turns positive; VWAP supports price; Rejection wicks; Absorption at lows; Delta flips positive; VWAP flattens or curls up
Target: 7,000 (psych) → 7,017–7,025 (ATH test) → 6,976 → 7,000+
Invalidation: Acceptance below 6,964; Acceptance below the 20DMA

This is the cleanest trade.; Let price come to you — no chasing.; 🟢 Secondary Setup — 20DMA Reaction Long; Tactical long only. Size down.

A+ Setup

ATH Rejection Short (Conditional)

Zone: 7,017–7,025
Trigger: Push into ATH; Immediate rejection; Delta divergence; VWAP fails to follow
Target: 6,976 → 6,964
Invalidation: Clean acceptance above 7,025

Only short at supply.; No mid-range hero shorts.; 🚫 ABSOLUTE RULE — NO EXCEPTIONS; 🍼 Baby account is CLOSED during the morning session.; When you traded less:; ✔ You traded better; ✔ Large accounts grew correctly; ✔ Big R showed up; ✔ Work actually protected you; Morning trading doesn’t sharpen you —; it drains you.

Confirmation

1️⃣ Directional candle (no overlap)
2️⃣ Delta confirms price
3️⃣ VWAP aligned with trade
4️⃣ Absorption at the level — not mid-range
No chasing highs. No boredom trades.

Mindset

This is a patience day.
The structure is bullish — let it pay you on pullbacks, not emotions.
And one more time so it sticks:
Baby account stays closed early.
Grind first. Direction later.
You already know where your best trades come from.
SPY (15Min)
Awesome holds of our 687 demand leading to a strong day yesterday. We were able to break above the previous week highs at 690.67/691.35. We now need to see those previous highs defend as new lows.
Would be great to get a SPY pullback to that demand. We are now up at the ATH 695. Will be cautious of any rejections up here.

Best window

10–11:00 AM

How it played out

The primary setup never confirmed, so there was no trade.

price never reached 6964. Measured from m15 bars, ESM6, confirm entry, close beyond the level invalidation, levels shifted +0 from None. Not a fill, and not a return: see how this is measured.

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Drawn with

RAIN High-Probability Reaction Levels$30 →RAIN Break & Retest Footprint (ES)$50 →

Earlier plans

1/23Demand Hold Long (Primary)1/22Higher-Low Long (Primary)1/21Pop & Fade Short (Primary)1/20Pop & Fade at 50DMA (Primary)